Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.006566 0.007649 0.008931 0.010581 0.012680 0.015305 0.018911
2025-04-13 0.005204 0.006528 0.008272 0.010813 0.014561 0.020139 0.029635
2025-04-20 0.004561 0.006021 0.008095 0.011412 0.016919 0.026454 0.046434
2025-04-27 0.004080 0.005594 0.007873 0.011798 0.018995 0.033274 0.070095
2025-05-04 0.003643 0.005139 0.007491 0.011780 0.020312 0.039364 0.099349
2025-05-11 0.003303 0.004770 0.007162 0.011751 0.021571 0.046113 0.141483
2025-05-18 0.002986 0.004391 0.006749 0.011454 0.022146 0.051595 0.191484
2025-05-25 0.002687 0.004004 0.006262 0.010903 0.021948 0.054841 0.241403
2025-06-01 0.002457 0.003707 0.005893 0.010517 0.022035 0.059188 0.316179
2025-06-08 0.002336 0.003583 0.005823 0.010750 0.023822 0.071200 0.526727
2025-06-15 0.002190 0.003399 0.005614 0.010630 0.024600 0.080224 0.809276
2025-06-22 0.002023 0.003164 0.005280 0.010161 0.024193 0.083735 1.075048
2025-06-29 0.001884 0.002980 0.005050 0.009962 0.024791 0.094509 1.919726
2025-07-06 0.001797 0.002885 0.004991 0.010183 0.026961 0.118758 6.082914
2025-07-13 0.001747 0.002852 0.005054 0.010734 0.030688 0.164389 94.229054
2025-07-20 0.001684 0.002789 0.005044 0.011088 0.033964 0.220908 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001601 0.002678 0.004912 0.011072 0.035704 0.272037 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001525 0.002574 0.004786 0.011045 0.037445 0.336972 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001441 0.002447 0.004592 0.010773 0.037845 0.386759 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001350 0.002300 0.004338 0.010265 0.036771 0.404240 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001275 0.002182 0.004141 0.009911 0.036404 0.441414 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001239 0.002140 0.004121 0.010125 0.039484 0.616648 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001187 0.002064 0.004009 0.010014 0.040587 0.758681 NaN